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[DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar] 48.Forecasting the effects of smoking prevalence scenarios on years of life lost and life expectancy from 2022 to 2050: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

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However, when you go though the paper, you find (in the "Limitations" section) the authors admitting that their classification of "social" and "current" smokers was based on self reported, and thus is not reliable, which introducing a potentially damaging classification bias

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and brought a product to market, the Favor best tagline ever: Do Yourself a Favor in the late 70s, early 80s